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re: rest_plateau() picks the wrong plateau -- and it is the whole residual

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rest_plateau() selects the LONGEST run of identical adjacent poses, which need
not be the run covering the screen's settle instant. rest_vs_settle left a 21.9 %
disagreement that I recorded as ambiguous by construction. It is not.

  CONTROL  exactly one plateau, covering the settle instant:
           3 072 / 3 072 agree (100.0 %)
  TEST     more than one plateau, at least one covering:
           1 622 elements, agree on 586 (36.1 %)
           of the 1 036 disagreements, rest() landed on a run NOT covering the
           settle instant: 1 036 -- all of them, no exceptions

Both poses are genuinely held in these cases -- they are plateau cases, not
transients -- so this is rest() returning a pose the screen has ALREADY LEFT by
the time it settles.

This corrects my own METHOD entry of two iterations ago, which said a candidate
cannot be adjudicated against the incumbent it replaces. Too strong. The bare
comparison cannot; the comparison plus a structural property that independently
says which side is wrong in each disagreement can. What I lacked was not an
oracle but a discriminator.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wuu56cE8vJGTBtn1ppsk8v
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sylph-decoder
2026-08-30 12:38:18 +00:00
parent 5a7e1673fc
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docs/re/structures/ui-resting-pose.md
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@@ -342,15 +342,30 @@ The naive one was misspecified, caught by asking what 46.6 % means physically:
`rest()` finds *a* held pose, and many elements hold one during the build-in then
move on. Different questions; disagreement proves nothing.
⚠️ **And the fair control's 21.9 % residual is ambiguous by construction.**
`rest_plateau()` picks one plateau; an element with two, whose settle instant falls
in the *other*, disagrees — and there `pose_at(settle)` is **right** and `rest()`
wrong. The control cannot separate *"the candidate is wrong"* from *"the incumbent
is wrong"*.
⚠️ **The fair control's 21.9 % residual looked ambiguous by construction** —
`rest_plateau()` picks one plateau, and an element with two whose settle instant
falls in the *other* disagrees.
🔴 **Comparing a candidate to the incumbent cannot adjudicate when the incumbent is
the thing under suspicion.** No care with this control fixes that; it is the wrong
shape of experiment.
✅ **RESOLVED (2026-08-30, later): it is not ambiguous, and the residual is entirely
the incumbent's** ([`../data/plateau-choice.txt`](../data/plateau-choice.txt)).
| | |
|---|---|
| **control** — exactly one plateau, covering the settle instant | **3 072 / 3 072 agree (100.0 %)** |
| **test** — more than one plateau, at least one covering | 1 622 elements, agree on 586 (36.1 %) |
| of the **1 036** disagreements, `rest()` landed on a run **not covering** the settle instant | **1 036 — all of them** |
`rest_plateau()` selects the **longest** run (`len >= any_len`), which need not be
the one the screen is actually sitting in. **Both poses are genuinely held** — these
are plateau cases, not transients — so this is `rest()` returning a pose the screen
has **already left** by the time it settles.
🔴 ~~**Comparing a candidate to the incumbent cannot adjudicate when the incumbent is
the thing under suspicion.**~~ **Too strong — corrected the same day.** The *bare*
comparison cannot. The comparison **plus a structural property that independently
says which side is wrong in each disagreement** can, and *"does the chosen run
contain the settle instant"* is such a property: it attributes **1 036 of 1 036**.
What was missing was not an oracle but a **discriminator**.
### ✅ Closing the gap: `settle_time()` itself, against the game