re: test what the 'A' route kind means across all 28 stages -- enriched, not "attackers"
Swept every Route_*_p<n><kind> in every stage table, resolving each squadron to its unit via that stage's own UnitGroup, with F/S/M routes as the control: A/B routes : 23 of 67 resolved are attacker/bomber = 34.3% F/S/M control: 27 of 928 = 2.9% A ~12x enrichment, so the signal is real and not a one-stage accident. But "A means the marked attackers" remains too strong: of the 67 resolved A/B routes, 35 carry UN_mn040_Asteroid_Big and 9 carry UN_n001_TTRL_Box (TTRL = tutorial). A reading covering all four is "things the mission wants shot" -- attackers in a combat stage, asteroids in an asteroid stage, boxes in a tutorial -- which keeps A as an objective marker rather than a unit-class marker, but that is a reading of four unit types, not a measurement. Records a near-miss: a truncated listing showed the first ~26 rows, dominated by early stages, in which every resolved row was an attacker. I nearly wrote "23/23, unanimous". The full set is 23/67 -- the tail of a sorted listing is not the distribution. The Stage 02 derivation is unaffected: its three A routes are still exactly the three n=4 attacker squadrons.
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@@ -152,10 +152,44 @@ It also explains the two results that looked like problems:
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from four squadrons; that prediction is **withdrawn**. `ADS151` is an `F` route
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and is not counted, so the ceiling is 12.
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🟡 The reading of `A` as "the marked attack objective" is inference from a
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three-route sample in one stage. It is strongly consistent with the mission
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dialogue ("the attackers with the orange markers") and with `A` appearing only in
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early phases corpus-wide, but the letter's meaning is not proven.
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### 🟡 What `A` means, tested across all 28 stages — enriched, but not "attackers"
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The three-route sample in one stage was too small to read a meaning off, so the
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sweep was run corpus-wide: every `Route_*_p<n><kind>` in every stage table,
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resolving each squadron to its unit through that stage's own `UnitGroup`.
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| route kind | resolved | attacker/bomber |
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|---|---|---|
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| **`A`/`B`** | 67 | **23 = 34.3 %** |
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| `F`/`S`/`M` (control) | 928 | 27 = **2.9 %** |
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A **~12× enrichment** for attacker/bomber units on `A`/`B` routes — the signal is
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real and it is not a one-stage accident.
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❌ **But "A means the marked attackers" is still too strong**, and the full
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distribution says why:
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| unit on a resolved `A`/`B` route | n |
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|---|---|
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| `UN_mn040_Asteroid_Big` | **35** |
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| `UN_e010_ADAN_Attacker_S` | 12 |
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| `UN_e011_ADAN_Attacker_B` | 11 |
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| `UN_n001_TTRL_Box` | 9 |
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Most `A` routes carry **asteroids**, and nine carry `TTRL_Box` — `TTRL` being the
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tutorial prefix. 🟡 A reading that covers all four is *"things the mission wants
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shot"*: attackers in a combat stage, asteroids in an asteroid stage, boxes in a
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tutorial. That is consistent, and it keeps `A` as an objective marker rather than
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a unit-class marker — but it is a reading of four unit types, not a measurement.
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⚠️ **Correction to my own first look at this data.** A truncated listing showed
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the first ~26 rows, which are dominated by early stages, and every resolved row in
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it was an attacker — I nearly recorded "23/23, unanimous". The full set is 23/67.
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The tail of a sorted listing is not the distribution.
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None of this disturbs the Stage 02 derivation above: S02's three `A` routes are
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still exactly the three `n = 4` attacker squadrons, and the predicted trajectory
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is unchanged.
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## ❌ A premise of this note was WRONG — ADN110/111/112 are TURRETS
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