re: Turret-biased run verified live -- 38 kills, still no phase advance

Checked liveness before investing this time (animating, max_delta=254) and the
run was real: 823 distinct speeds, hull 1500->1485, escort 100%->30.7%, ADAN
population 127->89 (38 destroyed) over ~1064s, no GUEST FROZEN banner. The phase
mirror stayed 0 throughout.

But this still does not test the prediction. The claim is that phase 1 clears
when ADN110/111/112 -- 27 specific Turrets -- die; what was measured is that 38
enemies of some kind died. SYLPH_PREFER biases target choice but the pilot went
to DEFEND and spent the run on e010_ADAN_Attacker_S protecting the escort.

The missing instrument is per-squadron liveness: nothing maps a live craft back
to its roster squadron, the same gap roster-to-craft-link.md records as unsolved.
So 'no advance after 38 kills' is compatible with both 'the condition is wrong'
and 'the right 27 were never killed'. The decisive experiment is blocked on
attribution, not on flying time.
This commit is contained in:
Sylpheed RE agent
2026-08-25 14:11:50 +00:00
parent 9f2692eadd
commit cbfc7ab846

View File

@@ -237,6 +237,37 @@ frozen guest: the banner fires, and the unpacked value is `(True, 0)`.
yaw/pitch/target across thousands of samples means a dead world, not a patient
pilot.
## 🟡 2026-08-25 — Turret-biased run, VERIFIED LIVE: still no phase advance
Re-ran it with the freeze witness armed, and checked liveness **before**
investing in the run this time (`frozen.py``animating, max_delta=254`).
This one was real: **823 distinct speeds** logged, the player's hull moved
1500 → 1485, the escort fell 100 % → 30.7 %, and the ADAN population dropped
**127 → 89 — 38 enemies destroyed** over ~1064 s. The probe printed no
`GUEST FROZEN` banner.
**The phase mirror stayed 0 throughout.** So: 38 enemy losses, escort still
alive, no advance.
### 🔴 But this still does not test the prediction
The prediction is that phase 1 clears when **ADN110/ADN111/ADN112** — 27
specific Turrets — are destroyed. What was measured is that *38 enemies of some
kind* died. `SYLPH_PREFER=Turret` biases target choice, but the pilot switched to
`DEFEND` and spent most of the run on `e010_ADAN_Attacker_S`, protecting the
escort.
**The missing instrument is per-squadron liveness.** Nothing currently maps a
live craft back to its roster squadron — that is the same gap
[roster-to-craft-link](roster-to-craft-link.md) records as unsolved. Until a
craft can be attributed to `ADN110`, a kill count cannot say whether the
condition was met, and "no advance after 38 kills" is compatible with both
"the condition is wrong" and "the right 27 were never killed".
**Honest state: three live-run attempts, no phase advance observed, and the
decisive experiment is still blocked on attribution rather than on flying time.**
### 🟡 The prediction to test
If phase 1 clears on those three squadrons dying, then destroying **27 Turrets**