Predicted from the disc alone, before the run: ADT102/ADT107/ADT113, each n=4,
arrive at t=0/120/210, so the counter reads 004, steps to 008 at t=120 and 012 at
t=210, and goes no higher in phase 1.
Measured with the mission clock sampled beside the counter throughout:
004 held over six samples to 01:45.44
008 first seen at 02:00.87 -> step bracketed in (105.4s, 120.9s]
008 held over five samples to 03:17.55
012 first seen at 03:30.66 -> step bracketed in (197.6s, 210.7s]
012 held four more samples to 04:36.95, no 016
Both steps land on the predicted second, and the ceiling holds. Three independent
features -- starting value, both step TIMES, and the ceiling -- came from
Route_S02.tbl and UnitGroup_S02.tbl with nothing fitted to runtime data. So the
counter's rises ARE the A-route attacker squadrons arriving.
Status upgraded to CONFIRMED for the rises. The DECREMENT half stays 🟡 and is
now the only open part: this run killed nothing, and the single observed 12 -> 11
remains one sample.