Checked liveness before investing this time (animating, max_delta=254) and the run was real: 823 distinct speeds, hull 1500->1485, escort 100%->30.7%, ADAN population 127->89 (38 destroyed) over ~1064s, no GUEST FROZEN banner. The phase mirror stayed 0 throughout. But this still does not test the prediction. The claim is that phase 1 clears when ADN110/111/112 -- 27 specific Turrets -- die; what was measured is that 38 enemies of some kind died. SYLPH_PREFER biases target choice but the pilot went to DEFEND and spent the run on e010_ADAN_Attacker_S protecting the escort. The missing instrument is per-squadron liveness: nothing maps a live craft back to its roster squadron, the same gap roster-to-craft-link.md records as unsolved. So 'no advance after 38 kills' is compatible with both 'the condition is wrong' and 'the right 27 were never killed'. The decisive experiment is blocked on attribution, not on flying time.