because the test probed the wrong state Nine stores to the phase field this+132, control-gated on the 136 query returning at least the 18 known ones. Attributed to the handler each lives in, they give the phase graph: entry -> 2, then 2 -> 0 (splash), 2 -> 3, 3 -> 4, and 4 -> 2 on event 0. That last edge is the problem with what I did last iteration. The event-0 block sets TWO fields one instruction apart -- stw r28,136(r30) for state 0 and stw r11,132(r30) with r11 = 2 for phase 2. So B from the menu lands in PHASE 2, the same phase as the boot title, and the test I ran believing it probed phase 4 state 0 probed nothing of the kind. So the refutation is withdrawn. Worse for me and better for the idea: A working on the B-returned title is exactly what the hypothesis predicts, since phase 2 is the phase that references BUTTON. The hypothesis is back to untested, now consistent with two observations rather than one, and what it still needs is the attract-returned title's phase -- which no test so far has read. The measurement from that iteration stands, because it does not depend on the phase: the B-returned title accepts A, so only the ATTRACT-returned title is inert. I have said so explicitly in the page rather than letting the withdrawal take the good half down with it. METHOD gets the lesson: before testing "state X behaves like this", check your route actually reaches state X. When a transition writes more than one field, read the whole block and not just the store you were looking for.
241 lines
15 KiB
Markdown
241 lines
15 KiB
Markdown
# Method traps already paid for
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Each line cost an iteration at least once. They are general — they are not about
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Sylpheed, they are about how this kind of measurement goes wrong.
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Like [`REFUTED.md`](REFUTED.md), this list had been living in the autonomous
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agent's loop prompt, i.e. nowhere durable. See [`README.md`](README.md) for the
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✅/🟡/❔ confidence convention itself.
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## Controls
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* **Every result needs a control. A control that fails kills the instrument.**
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* **Run the known-positive through a new filter FIRST.** Three filters have been
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killed by their own control. When one fails, **read the known-good's
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disassembly** before assuming a shape.
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* **A measured negative is a result** — but a negative is only as strong as the
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route you ran, so **state its reach**.
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* **A null result needs its cause shown to have happened.**
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* **A result with NO unknowns is suspicious.**
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* **Census the whole set; always run the other population as the control.**
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**Zero partials is stronger than a majority.**
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* **A 2×2 partition is the sharpest general tool** — both off-diagonals empty is
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a law.
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* **Re-derive a doc's own numbers as the control.**
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## Inference
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* **Never conclude from ONE sample.**
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* **A law proved on one population is a hypothesis on the next.**
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* **Finding one exception does not imply a family.**
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* **Consistency is not proof. A suggestive coincidence is a coincidence until
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measured.** **An analogy is not a measurement.**
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* **Same layout ≠ same instance.** **Same record-name set ≠ same object.**
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* **A marker is only proven by what it leaves out.**
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* **A high-confidence SCORE is not a high-confidence MECHANISM.**
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* **Knowing HOW MANY is not knowing WHICH.**
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* **Round numbers matching is weak evidence — unless you read the constant.**
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* **My own last-turn result is a hypothesis too.**
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* **A global partition can understate a per-owner one.**
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* **A residual is measured against a population — name it.**
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## Searching and tooling
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* **A search that returns thousands has no power; state the reach.**
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* **A substring match is not a hit.** **A regex miss looks like a null result —
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print one raw sample before believing a zero.**
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* **A derived table can be a cross product — measure its shape first.**
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* **After refuting an instrument, sweep everything that depended on it.**
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* **Before measuring how wrong a tool is, read what the tool actually does.**
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* **The instrument must pass its own control.**
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* **Classify a bulk before mining it. The residual is the prize.**
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* **Rank by similarity — the cliff is the finding.** But **read the values
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before trusting the rank.**
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* **Grep the nouns before designing the experiment — and believe it.**
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* **Grep gives you a file list — read *every* file on it.**
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* **The answer is often already in the doc that owns the subject — read it end
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to end.** A 🟡 often names its own route.
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* **Before re-trying a blocked idea, check whether the blocker's own doc already
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tried it.**
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* **Ship a regenerator with every artefact.** An artefact that moves by a pure
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reorder is a tool bug.
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* **Never print per-entry lines from a disc-wide sweep — aggregate.**
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## Reading the data
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* **Read what a loader NAMES, not where it stores.**
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* **A field the disc never values still gets named by the loader.**
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* **An indexed read beats a deduped-pool adjacency read.**
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* **Check the whole string set, not the one matching word.**
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* **A dict keyed by record name across a multi-entry pak is a lie.**
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* **A set-difference over names hides reuse — join per USER.**
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* **A self-index names records, not files.**
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* **Case-insensitive hashing means two spellings can be one entry.**
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* **An "unresolved" name may be the wrong kind, namespace or prefix — or part of
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a cut asset.**
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* **A garbled value may be a real string in another encoding.**
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* **Two of my own counts disagreeing is a grammar clue.**
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* **A game's own typo is a join key.**
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* **A bias constant in the code is a join key.**
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* **A prefix trap: enumerate maximal `[A-Za-z0-9_]` runs, not `startswith`.**
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* **Re-deriving a format is not a finding — asking whether its values *resolve*
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is.**
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## Mechanics that have bitten
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* **Never hand-convert a decimal VA — print `hex()`.**
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* **`grep -c` counts LINES** — use `grep -o | wc -l`.
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* **`Counter.most_common()` tie-breaks by insertion order — use `sorted()`.**
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* **Raw grep cannot see inside compressed pak entries.**
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* **Commit messages go in a file** (`git commit -F`); a literal `|` in a table
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cell needs escaping; `git log --all -- <path>` can hang.
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## Runtime / emulator
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* **Look at the PNG** — and check its dimensions.
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* **"Animating" is not "still in a mission".**
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* **Dedup entity enumerations by position value.**
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* **Do not diagnose timing or liveness under gdb.** `ps %cpu` is cumulative.
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* **Classify screens by whole-image statistics, not named pixels** — a named
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pixel is only valid while the image sits at a known place, and nothing errors
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when it moves.
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* **Do not poll faster than the guest updates** — it manufactures a clean curve
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out of noise.
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* **A probe that never performs the action will "prove" the action does not
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exist.**
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* **The container's Canary binary can be older than the Canary source tree, and
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the failure mode is a hang, not an error.** After a merge into `sylpheed-re`
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the prebuilt `xenia_canary` had no `log_ui_draws`, no `mem_watch`, no
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`create_profile_if_none` — and an unknown cvar makes xenia open an SDL message
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box before logging is up, which headless is an unexplained freeze. Check before
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trusting a harness flag: `nm -C <binary> | grep cvars::<flag>`, and
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`build-canary Release` if it is missing.
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* **A capture armed *at* a screen only ever sees the steady state.** Anything
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about how a screen is built or animated has to be armed *before* it exists.
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Re-arming every few seconds and keeping every log tiles the approach: each F10
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opens a new numbered file and closes the previous one complete.
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* **Measure animation in submitted frames, not in seconds.** `VdSwap` counts are
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the guest's own frames, so an emulator at 80 % of real time does not move them;
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a stopwatch reading does, silently and by an unknown factor.
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* **~~This game's menus drop d-pad presses shorter than ~0.3 s.~~ WITHDRAWN
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2026-08-28 — the menu WRAPS, and I had not measured that.** The claim came from
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reading a cursor that ended up "one item short"; once wrap-around at both ends
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was measured ([`menu-navigation-semantics.md`](menu-navigation-semantics.md)),
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every one of those press counts is exactly right — four presses at 0.12 s moved
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four steps *through the bottom*, which lands one above where a non-wrapping
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menu would put it. **No press was ever dropped.** The real lesson is the
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general one: *a step count is only readable once you know the topology*, and I
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invented a hardware-flakiness story rather than testing the ends of the list.
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Still true and worth keeping: screenshot after every step and read the cursor,
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rather than trusting arithmetic over the press count.
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* **A screenshot taken right after a transition can catch a screen mid-fade.**
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A grab 2.5 s after Ⓑ returned the game to the title showed the title art with
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no `PRESS Ⓐ BUTTON` plate; one second later the plate was there. That very
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nearly went into the corpus as "the returned title has no plate". Sample a
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changing screen several times before writing down what it does *not* contain.
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* **Do not identify a menu cursor by label brightness.** The obvious oracle —
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"the focused label is the brightest row" — fails on this game's menus, because
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the background art is brighter behind some rows than the highlight is. It
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confidently named the wrong item on a frame whose ring was plainly elsewhere.
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Detect the **focus ring** in the gutter left of the labels instead
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(`tools/re-capture/menu_focus.py`, 254 vs <82 — no threshold tuning needed),
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and look at the PNG before believing either.
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* **`screenshot` samples at 0.5 Hz — it cannot time an animation.** Measured:
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~2 s per grab (an `import` of the root plus an ImageMagick crop). A 0.4 s fade
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falls entirely between two samples, which is why a 40-frame burst across a
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screen change looked like an instant cut. For anything timed, record the
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display instead: `ffmpeg -f x11grab -framerate 30 -video_size <W>x<H> -i
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:98+<X>,<Y> -t <secs>`, then read per-frame statistics off the file. Take the
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geometry from `xwininfo -root -tree`, the same way `bin/screenshot` does.
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* **A screen's brightness curve is not its fade quad.** The incoming screen's own
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elements animate in *after* the transition quad has cleared, so mean luminance
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keeps rising long after the fade is over — 1.47 s against a declared 0.97 s on
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one screen. Time the fade from where the frame is *pure black*, and take the
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ramp itself from the keyframes.
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* **A `sound.pak` entry is not a bank.** Entry windows straddle bank boundaries
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(the leading-region effect), so a naive "walk the RIFFs in this entry" gives
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the tail of the previous bank, then one of your own, then the *next* bank's
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header. It looks like a bank with the wrong number of waves. The tell is a
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`BANK id=` that is not the entry's own number, and the fix is the `seek` packet
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counts — they pin each wave's join exactly, so a straddle can be realigned
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rather than thrown away. 4 of 32 BGM banks look like counterexamples until this
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is applied.
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* **Do not time a video whose start you did not see.** An attract cycle sampled
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from partway through measured "≈85 s", which was used to argue it was not the
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137 s `ADV.wmv`. It was `ADV.wmv`; the sampling began 39 s in. Identify a video
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by **content** — match frames against the candidates and check the matched
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playhead advances monotonically — before reasoning about its duration.
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* **A near-black frame has no signature.** In frame-matching, low-contrast frames
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drive every correlation toward zero and the ranking becomes noise; one control
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frame scored 0.000 and another tied the wrong movie at 0.98. Read a dark
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frame's runner-up as *no evidence*, not as evidence for the runner-up.
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* **A screen that never changes is not necessarily hung — it may be a menu.** A
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90-second screenshot loop that presses nothing will report a perfectly healthy
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`DIFFICULTY` menu as a standing hang, and that reading survived in this corpus
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for months. Before calling a static screen a hang, *look at it*, and press
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something.
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* **Never run `ps -ef` in this container.** Each of the three long-lived
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processes carries the whole loop prompt as its argv, so the listing is tens of
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kilobytes of the prompt you already have. Use `pgrep -x <name>` or
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`ps -o pid=,stat= -C <name>`.
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* **A file extension is not a format.** `sound.pak` is full of `.slb` banks and
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names a `.xgs` project, and neither is an XACT container: the whole 1.08 GB
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archive contains zero `XGSF`, `SDBK` or `WBND` magic, and the executable has no
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XACT string at all. The names came from the authoring tool and survived into the
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shipped data. Check for the magic before committing to a parser for the format
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the extension advertises.
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* **A log-polling probe must compare a COUNT, not test for presence.** Timing an
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operation by waiting for its "done" line in a log gives an instant false
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positive if any earlier run left one there. This produced a confident
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"39.5 fps" that was really 0.1 s of matching a stale line — and it disagreed
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with the true 28.5 fps by enough to have flipped a conclusion. Snapshot
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`log.count(marker)` before starting and wait for it to *increase*.
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* **This container kills long emulator runs.** Twice in one session the
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`xenia_canary` process vanished with **no crash line in its own log** — once
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~50 s into a boot, once ~145 s in at 1.15 GB RSS — while the box sat at
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~1 GB free with swap exhausted. Budget dynamic experiments to fit in ~2 minutes
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of guest time, take the measurement early, and never read a disappearance as a
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guest crash without checking the log tail for one.
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* **When a frame-match will not resolve, sample denser before doubting the
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hypothesis.** Identifying a movie from 5-second screenshots gave contrast-23
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frames, a playhead that would not join up, and a runner-up winning one frame —
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it looked like weak evidence for the wrong film. The same question sampled every
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0.5 s (`ffmpeg x11grab` at 10 fps) answered at **0.999 with a strictly monotone
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playhead**. Sparse sampling does not weaken a signal gracefully; it turns it
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into noise that looks like a different answer.
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* **Check what instrumentation the local build already has before declaring a
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question blocked on tooling.** Two Q8 residuals were written off as needing "an
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emulator whose audio path can be observed". The emulator in this container
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already had `xma_param_probe` — visible in the startup CONFIG DUMP the whole
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time — added by this project for exactly that purpose. Read the cvar dump, or
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`nm -C <binary> | grep cvars::`, before concluding you cannot measure something.
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* **"Strings a function references" is not "arguments a function passes".** A
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loose filter over the strings in a caller produced a tidy-looking screen
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vocabulary; recovering the actual register argument at each call site removed
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half of it, including two names that appeared to be corroborated by independent
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measurement. If the claim is about an argument, simulate the registers — the
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cheap proxy manufactures agreement.
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* **A backward scan for `addi rN, …` misses arguments staged through another
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register.** PPC code often builds a pointer in a scratch register and moves it
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into place later (`addi r27, r11, X` … `mr r5, r27`). A backward search for the
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destination register alone found 7 of 48 sites and missed the two known-good
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ones. Simulate forward over a window instead, tracking `lis`/`addi`/`mr`.
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* **Check a measurement against the WHOLE reference set, not the part you were
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reading.** Two observed BGM stream sizes were recorded as matching "no bank's
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declared waves", which spawned a wrong theory that the decoder gets a window
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rather than a whole wave. They match `BGM_103` exactly — the check had covered
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only the `BGM_0xx` rows of the census, because that is the block that had been
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on screen.
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* **`instructions.function` is unpopulated for most rows in `sylpheed.db`.** A
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query keyed on it returns *nothing* rather than erroring — a `bctr` search
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scoped that way reported "no jump tables" for a function with two known ones.
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Scope by `address between <start> and <end_address>` instead, and gate any such
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query on a function whose answer you already know.
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* **Before testing "state X behaves like this", check that your route actually
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reaches state X.** A test of "does Ⓐ work in phase 4 state 0" was run by
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pressing Ⓑ, on the strength of a decoded `4 → state 0` edge — but the same basic
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block also writes the *phase* field, sending it to phase 2. The test probed the
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wrong state and produced a confident refutation of a live hypothesis. When a
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transition sets more than one field, read the whole block, not the one store you
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were looking for.
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