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re: phase-1's four attacker squadrons are measured -- all n=4, 16 craft

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Replaces the 16/4 MEAN with a per-group measurement, closing the caveat that a
5/5/3/3 split would have made the counter's step-of-four a coincidence.

Route_S02.tbl names routes Route_<squadron>_p<phase><kind>, so the squadron->phase
link is readable off the disc.  Stage 02 has 37 phase-1 squadrons; intersecting
with the e010 roster gives exactly FOUR -- ADS151, ADT102, ADT107, ADT113 -- and
every one has n=4, summing to 16 craft.

The five e010 groups NOT in phase 1 (ADN204, ADN206, ADN208, ADN209, ADS251)
include both n=6 groups and the n=9 group.  That is why the stage-wide mean
misled: the odd-sized squadrons belong to later phases.  Restricted to phase 1 the
size is uniform.

Pure static, no emulator.  The hypothesis itself stays 🟡 -- the runtime
kill-one-e010 test is still the thing that would confirm or kill it.
This commit is contained in:
Sylpheed RE agent
2026-08-27 01:02:06 +00:00
parent 74314b457d
commit f5b030e3db
1 changed files with 26 additions and 5 deletions
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docs/re/ob-counts-marked-attackers.md
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@@ -78,11 +78,32 @@ Every `UN_e010_ADAN_Attacker_S` squadron in Stage 02:
| `ADN208` | 6 | | `ADT107` | **4** |
| `ADT113` | **4** | | | |
**9 groups, 45 members** — so the sizes are *not* uniform across the stage. But
**six of the nine hold exactly 4**, and phase 1's share is independently recorded
as **4 groups / 16 craft** — which is `4 × 4` exactly. So the phase-1 squadrons
are the `n = 4` ones, and the step-of-four is a real per-squadron size rather
than an artifact of averaging. 🟡 upgraded on that specific point.
**9 groups, 45 members** — so the sizes are *not* uniform across the stage.
### ✅ And phase 1's four are measured, not inferred
`Route_S<NN>.tbl` names routes **`Route_<squadron>_p<phase><kind>`**
([stage-mission-tables.md](structures/stage-mission-tables.md)), so the
squadron → phase link is readable straight off the disc. Stage 02 has **37**
phase-1 squadrons, and intersecting them with the `e010` roster gives:
| phase-1 `e010` squadron | n |
|---|---|
| `ADS151` | **4** |
| `ADT102` | **4** |
| `ADT107` | **4** |
| `ADT113` | **4** |
| **total** | **16** |
**Exactly four groups, every one of size four, summing to sixteen.** The five
remaining `e010` groups — `ADN204`, `ADN206`, `ADN208`, `ADN209`, `ADS251`, which
include *both* `n = 6` groups and the `n = 9` group — are **not** in phase 1.
So the stage-wide mean was misleading precisely because the odd-sized squadrons
belong to later phases. Restricted to phase 1 the size is uniform, and the
counter's step of four is a real per-squadron member count. ✅ on that point: the
`16 / 4` mean is replaced by a measured per-group fact, and the coincidence the
caveat feared (5/5/3/3) is ruled out.
## ❌ A premise of this note was WRONG — ADN110/111/112 are TURRETS